Strategic Forecasting Engine · v0.1 preview

Where macro signal meets machine reasoning.

ProjectCortex is an institutional-grade forecasting stack — Snowflake-native pipelines, economic signal extraction, anomaly detection, and an LLM reasoning layer — designed from the ground up for S&P, BankFocus and FDIC data.

7
Pipeline modules
2
First-party datasets
LLM
Reasoning layer
FastAPI
Service surface

Seven modules, one strategic surface.

Every layer is independently runnable and independently testable — wired together into a single forecasting brain that thinks in macro signals and bank fundamentals.

Snowflake integration

First-class warehouse adapters, secure key-pair auth, and incremental ingestion built for BankFocus and FDIC scale.

Forecasting pipeline

Composable models — classical, gradient-boosted, and deep — orchestrated end-to-end with reproducible backtests.

Economic signal extraction

Macro regime features, yield-curve dynamics, credit spreads and bank-call-report indicators distilled to model-ready signals.

Anomaly detection

Statistical and learned detectors flag balance-sheet drift, deposit shocks and reporting irregularities in real time.

LLM reasoning layer

A grounded reasoning surface that narrates forecasts, weighs counterfactuals and cites the underlying signal evidence.

FastAPI service

Production-grade async API with typed contracts, OpenAPI docs, and a Dockerized footprint ready for any cluster.

Built for the institutions that move markets.

Cortex is deployed where forecasts carry real capital weight — regulators, strategy desks, banks and quant teams that need reasoning, not just numbers.

Central banks & regulators

Systemic risk surveillance

Monitor deposit flight, capital adequacy drift and concentration risk across thousands of institutions — with anomaly alerts cited back to the underlying call-report line items.

Strategy desks

Macro-aware forecasting

Forecast loan growth, NIM compression and credit quality under explicit macro regimes. The LLM layer narrates each forecast and weighs counterfactual rate paths.

Banks & holding companies

Peer benchmarking & planning

Benchmark balance-sheet performance against custom peer cohorts, project quarterly trajectories, and stress-test scenarios end-to-end on your own warehouse.

Quant & credit funds

Alpha from regulatory data

Turn FDIC and BankFocus filings into model-ready signals — regime features, anomaly scores and reasoned theses ready for portfolio construction and credit underwriting.

From raw call report to reasoned forecast.

A linear, auditable flow. Every stage emits structured artifacts the next stage consumes — and the LLM cites them by name.

🗃01

S&P, BankFocus · FDIC

Raw call reports
02

Snowflake

Warehouse + staging
03

Feature pipeline

Signals · regimes
04

Forecast models

Ensembles · backtests
05

Anomaly layer

Drift · shocks
06

LLM reasoning

Narrate · cite
07

FastAPI

Typed contracts

Built for BankFocus, FDIC and S&P from day one.

Cortex isn't a generic forecasting toolkit retrofitted to finance. The schemas, feature extractors and reasoning prompts are co-designed with three of the deepest banking and credit datasets in the world.

Moody's

BankFocus

Global bank financials, ownership and credit indicators — normalized into a forecasting-ready feature store.

US Regulator

FDIC Call Reports

Quarterly call-report extracts streamed into Snowflake with versioned schemas and reporting-period diffs.

S&P Global

S&P Capital IQ / Market Intelligence

Credit ratings, issuer fundamentals, and market-implied default probabilities — integrated for peer benchmarking and risk overlay.

A path to institutional-grade strategic forecasting.

Phase 01

Foundation

  • Snowflake adapter
  • BankFocus + FDIC ingestion
  • FastAPI scaffold
  • Dockerized stack
Phase 02

Signal & forecast

  • Macro regime features
  • Ensemble forecast models
  • Backtesting harness
  • Anomaly detectors
Phase 03

Reasoning

  • LLM reasoning layer
  • Cited counterfactuals
  • Scenario simulator
  • Analyst-grade reports
Phase 04

Institutional

  • SOC2-ready controls
  • Multi-tenant isolation
  • Streaming ingestion
  • Strategy-desk integrations

Deploy Cortex inside your institution.

ProjectCortex is in private preview with a select group of strategy desks and quant teams. Request access to run the stack on your own warehouse.